Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 11.956074 13.449078 15.136700 17.202496 19.686390 22.607196 26.347569
2025-04-06 9.588391 11.351545 13.498614 16.356145 20.139807 25.100753 32.318562
2025-04-13 8.257562 10.091424 12.432373 15.724221 20.381506 26.987621 37.589764
2025-04-20 8.094071 10.227301 13.090890 17.369436 23.899240 34.076078 52.578535
2025-04-27 7.626355 9.873145 13.003242 17.900509 25.834005 39.195421 66.294054
2025-05-04 6.930245 9.116325 12.237869 17.276802 25.786040 40.941098 74.335437
2025-05-11 6.619475 8.869925 12.177271 17.718386 27.561488 46.370352 92.627599
2025-05-18 6.194408 8.412728 11.742489 17.478256 28.069031 49.462860 107.114090
2025-05-25 5.831596 8.016238 11.358733 17.265008 28.572438 52.667789 123.873882
2025-06-01 5.543938 7.710201 11.086702 17.204656 29.350352 56.698872 146.023527
2025-06-08 5.212911 7.312336 10.629958 16.755272 29.256423 58.643499 162.820208
2025-06-15 5.003365 7.090989 10.445068 16.781126 30.162518 63.385056 194.753751
2025-06-22 4.675487 6.671953 9.915397 16.138222 29.593255 64.308247 213.128985
2025-06-29 4.354200 6.246612 9.347672 15.370027 28.636354 63.941747 225.888072
2025-07-06 4.092551 5.903850 8.898876 14.790057 28.026537 64.450478 244.680488
2025-07-13 4.174700 6.131120 9.462439 16.297278 32.713698 83.509623 420.073326
2025-07-20 4.097442 6.083768 9.527659 16.782700 34.974426 95.921502 602.253562
2025-07-27 3.884401 5.791952 9.122634 16.212551 34.298553 96.905438 672.425514
2025-08-03 3.812619 5.740006 9.159876 16.616291 36.417711 110.572742 1001.098201
2025-08-10 3.668895 5.554327 8.930964 16.396785 36.701538 116.493871 1267.671451
2025-08-17 3.537948 5.384743 8.721981 16.201763 37.027709 122.945116 1643.029101
2025-08-24 3.431602 5.253713 8.579192 16.146553 37.782477 132.219486 2311.872080
2025-08-31 3.292490 5.057701 8.297692 15.735245 37.330915 134.813128 2819.515631